and in the circumstances of the Prussian 
Government must be sought the mainspring of the war. The cause of 
the war was not the Serbian imbroglio nor even German rivalry with 
Russia, France, or Britain. These were the occasions of its outbreak and 
extension; but national rivalries always exist and occasions for war are 
never wanting. They only result in war when one of the parties to the 
dispute wants to break the peace; and the Prussian will-to-war was due 
to the domestic situation of a Prussian government which had been 
made by the sword and had realized before 1914 that it could not be 
maintained without a further use of the sword. That government was 
the work of Bismarck, who had been called to power in 1863 to save 
the Hohenzollerns from subjection to Parliament and had found in the 
Danish and Austrian wars of 1864 and 1866 the means of solving the 
constitutional issue at Berlin. The cannon of Königgratz proved more 
convincing than Liberal arguments; and the methods of blood and iron, 
by which Bismarck, Moltke, and Roon conquered Denmark, Austria, 
and France and annexed to Prussia the greater part of German soil, 
impressed upon Germany a constitution in which the rule of the sword 
was merely concealed behind a skilfully emasculated parliamentary 
system. The Reichstag with its universal suffrage was the scabbard of 
the Prussian sword, and it was because the sword could not do the work 
required of it while it lay in the scabbard that it was drawn in 1914. 
Since 1871 the object of every Prussian Government had been to 
reconcile the German people to the veiled rule of the sword by 
exhibiting results which, it was contended, could not otherwise have 
been secured. Historians dwelt on the failure of the German Parliament 
at Frankfurt to promote a national unity which was left for Prussian 
arms to achieve, and philosophers deduced from that example a 
comprehensive creed of might. More material arguments were provided 
for the man in business and in the street by the skilful activities of the 
Government in promoting trade, industry, and social welfare; and the 
wealth, which would in any case have accrued from the removal of the
tariff-walls and other barriers between the thirty-nine independent 
States of Germany, was credited to the particular method of war by 
which the unification had been accomplished. No State had hitherto 
made such economic progress as did the German Empire in the 
generation after Metz and Sedan, and the success of their rulers led 
most of the German people to place implicit reliance on the testimony 
those rulers bore to the virtue of their means. The means did not, 
however, commend themselves to the rest of the world with equal 
conviction; and an increasing aversion to the mailed fist on the part of 
other countries led to what Germans called the hostile encirclement of 
their Fatherland. Gradually it became clearer that Prussian autocracy 
could not reproduce in the sphere of world-ambitions the success which 
had attended it in Germany unless it could reduce the world to the same 
submission by the use of similar arguments. 
But still the Prussian Government was driven towards imperialistic 
expansion by the ever-increasing force of public opinion and popular 
discontent. It could only purchase renewed leases of autocratic power at 
home, with its perquisites for those who wielded and supported 
autocracy, by feeding the minds of the people with diplomatic triumphs 
and their bodies with new markets for commercial and industrial 
expansion; and the incidents of military domination grew ever more 
irksome to the populace. The middle classes were fairly content, and 
the parties which represented them in the Reichstag offered no real 
opposition to Prussian ideas of government. But the Social Democrats 
were more radical in their principles and were regarded by Prussian 
statesmen as open enemies of the Prussian State. Rather than submit to 
social democracy Prussians avowed their intention of making war, and 
war abroad would serve their turn a great deal better than civil strife. 
The hour was rapidly advancing two years before the war broke out. 
The German rebuff over Agadir in 1911 was followed by a general 
election in 1912 at which the Social Democrats polled nearly a third of 
the votes and secured by far the largest representation of any party in 
the Reichstag. In 1913, after a particularly violent expression of 
militarism called "the Zabern incident," the Reichstag summoned up 
courage for the first time in its history to pass a vote of censure on the 
Government. The ground was slipping from under the feet of Prussian
militarism; it must either fortify its position by fresh victories or take 
the risk of revolution. It preferred the chances of European war, and 
found in the Serbian incident a means of provoking a    
    
		
	
	
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